Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 8.984859 10.385231 11.889320 13.619957 15.551109 17.634528 20.046882
2025-11-23 6.730864 8.535869 10.618359 13.179609 16.224646 19.708354 23.973281
2025-11-30 5.588880 7.611209 10.074216 13.255893 17.214786 21.934419 27.937936
2025-12-07 4.764229 6.902578 9.630629 13.303034 18.047170 23.894581 31.563007
2025-12-14 4.168024 6.384495 9.331322 13.443626 18.929912 25.885432 35.242416
2025-12-21 3.648320 5.890953 8.990066 13.460794 19.602319 27.587923 38.576104
2025-12-28 3.328362 5.633285 8.929164 13.823149 20.717322 29.876288 42.720994
2026-01-04 3.023384 5.356214 8.803368 14.064238 21.652048 31.935588 46.612054
2026-01-11 2.711590 5.028733 8.566158 14.111775 22.295088 33.600018 50.005288
2026-01-18 2.339891 4.559201 8.067468 13.725533 22.276188 34.324605 52.110121
2026-01-25 2.039633 4.170614 7.654719 13.427866 22.350812 35.158389 54.366473
2026-02-01 1.772573 3.805586 7.243468 13.094177 22.337740 35.845009 56.413156
2026-02-08 1.548013 3.491748 6.891682 12.832828 22.423332 36.683160 58.718308
2026-02-15 1.327455 3.155852 6.469935 12.422378 22.245927 37.113155 60.430666
2026-02-22 1.207357 2.999956 6.346797 12.495319 22.826623 38.687304 63.860993
2026-03-01 1.096460 2.847794 6.215195 12.540246 23.355982 40.191395 67.220015
2026-03-08 1.008634 2.732405 6.139966 12.674224 24.030158 41.932211 70.975712
2026-03-15 0.915634 2.592832 6.005481 12.690585 24.502749 43.365767 74.293918
2026-03-22 0.867913 2.549450 6.052941 13.035953 25.540408 45.716473 79.078076
2026-03-29 0.811844 2.478946 6.039692 13.265785 26.385140 47.779239 83.461685
2026-04-05 0.742836 2.367372 5.932809 13.311106 26.907095 49.331858 87.079211
2026-04-12 0.644368 2.166370 5.621002 12.942906 26.680202 49.650695 88.746210
2026-04-19 0.564089 1.998737 5.363140 12.659205 26.584520 50.172792 90.738724